In the simplest sense, climate is the average weather conditions observed for a given geographic location over many years.
Weather includes such things as precipitation (measurable rain, sleet and snow), temperature (highs and lows), as well as wind (speed and direction). The weather in a place is determined by the pressure and moisture of the air. Weather is influenced by large-scale things such as the jet stream and by local factors such as pavement or agriculture.
But back to climate.
Climate is influenced by the latitude, altitude, vegetation cover, and even the presence of mountains or large bodies of water such as oceans or large lakes (like Lake Michigan).
Watching the weather reports recently, I noticed that northwest Indiana had about a foot of snow on November 18th. This is known as “lake effect” snow because it is influenced by the proximity of Lake Michigan. Towns just a few miles away had no snow – because they were just that much further from the lake and it’s effects.
So, what’s the big deal about a changing climate?
Consider this: the reason that the Midwest is known as the “breadbasket of the world” is because of the unique combination of climate and soil that is found here. The cornbelt was once a vast tallgrass prairie, which is why the soils are so productive for growing crops.
But, it isn’t just the soil that makes the Midwest a great location for agricultural production, it is also the climate. Simply put, in the Midwest it rains during the growing season in a quantity needed to grow most crops without irrigation. This phenomenon of rich soil and ideal climate is unique when one looks across the globe.
What happens, however, if – when – the climate changes?
What if the growing season becomes longer or shorter than it is today? What if the average rainfall increases or decreases by a significant amount? What if the rainfall occurs during a different time of the year – earlier in the year or later, rather than primarily during the growing season? What will happen to food production if average temperatures increase?
What happens to the Midwest agricultural system if several of these things happen at the same time?
The short answer is: no one knows for sure.
But a clue can be found when one looks at what happens during a long, hot, dry summer. Crops die. Crop yields are lower. Some farmers irrigate with well water to supplement the scant rainfall. The government pays farmers something for the losses to help them get through the crisis, but folks know that a drought is a unique weather event, so no one panics.
When the next year arrives, the rains return and all is right again.
What if the rain doesn’t return the year after the drought? What if the rain comes in April and October, but not in June or July?
Again, no one knows for sure, but I have the feeling that if – when – this region starts to experience a changing climate, residents will adapt. Keep in mind that climate is the average weather over a period of time, so let’s pay close attention to changes in those averages, and take steps to be prepared.